UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Fioravanti vs Daley

1,819

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
76% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 7.6 Around 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Luigi Fioravanti
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.6 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 183 lbs vs 170 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fioravanti’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Daley Fioravanti
Significant Strikes54
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Fioravanti's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fioravanti's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Fioravanti on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luigi
Fioravanti
In 11:45, how much damage will he do? Fioravanti Daley
Significant Strikes47
Fioravanti's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 106 Significant Strikes in 11:45
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Fioravanti's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:45
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Fioravanti 8.4
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Daley 7.6
fighter Fioravanti 8.6
Great takedowns by Fioravanti
8 takedowns Dec 10, 2008 vs Farber
13 takedowns Mar 01, 2008 vs Cummo
1 takedown Dec 13, 2006 vs Menne

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Fioravanti 7.6
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Fioravanti 7.3
Great submissions by Fioravanti
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Aguilar
Round 2 Jan 22, 2011 vs Whitesel
Round 4 Dec 10, 2010 vs Guseinov

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Fioravanti 7.8
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,7822,057
1,7652,074
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Fioravanti
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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