UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Palhares

1,874

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
79% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 8.9 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Dan Miller
Better striker 8.3 vs 7.5 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
A lot taller 185 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Stronger jaw 8.8 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 188 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 6.5 vs 6.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Puts up a fight 9.2 vs 9.0 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly younger 35 years vs 37 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 8:41, how much damage will he do? Palhares Miller
Significant Strikes26
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:41
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Palhares's average takedown offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Miller
In 8:41, how much damage will he do? Miller Palhares
Significant Strikes29
Miller's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 78 Significant Strikes in 8:41
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miller's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:41
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Miller 8.3
Great striking by Miller
18 strikes Dec 11, 2010 vs Doerksen
31 strikes Oct 25, 2008 vs Horwich
8 strikes May 16, 2008 vs McGivern

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Miller 8.3
Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Miller
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares
7 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Miller 6.5
Great knockouts by Miller
Round 1 Jun 30, 2006 vs Perez

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Miller 8.5
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Miller 8.0
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
August 27, 2011UFC 134
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 SUB
1,9072,003
1,8712,040
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Miller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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