UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Miller vs Maia

1,874

CageRank

WINNER
Maia

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Maia
WILL WIN

2,102

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Demian Maia
Much stronger takedown offense 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better takedown defense 9.7 vs 8.4 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 7.2 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly fast finishes 8.5 vs 8.0 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Dan Miller
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Maia on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miller’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Demian
Maia
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Maia Miller
Significant Strikes71
Maia's average striking offense is matched by Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Maia's excellent takedown offense will dominate Miller's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Maia is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Maia has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Maia has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Miller on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Maia’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Dan
Miller
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Miller Maia
Significant Strikes46
Miller's average striking offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miller's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Maia's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miller is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miller has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miller is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Maia 8.3
fighter Miller 8.3
Great striking by Maia
12 strikes Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
24 strikes Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
6 strikes Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Maia 9.7
fighter Miller 8.3
Great takedowns by Maia
7 takedowns Feb 02, 2013 vs Fitch
4 takedowns Oct 08, 2011 vs Santiago
1 takedown Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Maia 7.2
fighter Miller 6.5
Great knockouts by Maia
Round 1 Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
Round 1 May 19, 2007 vs Stout
Round 1 Sep 21, 2001 vs Sosa

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Maia 8.1
fighter Miller 8.5
Great submissions by Miller
Round 3 Jun 22, 2012 vs Funch
Round 1 Sep 17, 2008 vs Kimmons
Round 1 May 16, 2008 vs McGivern

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Maia 8.5
fighter Miller 8.0
Fast finishes by Maia
150 seconds Oct 13, 2012 vs Story
47 seconds Jul 07, 2012 vs Hyun Kim
157 seconds Feb 21, 2009 vs Sonnen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 6, 2010UFC 109
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 SUB
1,9212,031
1,8862,065
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Maia
legend Miller
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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