UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Uno vs Ishida

1,946

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Uno

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Uno
WILL WIN

1,833

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Caol Uno
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.7 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly longer reach 178 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly stronger jaw 8.6 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.7 vs 8.9 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 144 lbs vs 142 lbs Almost the same
Taller 170 cm vs 168 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Mitsuhiro Ishida
Much stronger takedown offense 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly heavier hands 6.7 vs 5.7 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.2 vs 8.0 Almost the same
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Uno on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ishida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Caol
Uno
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Uno Ishida
Significant Strikes27
Uno's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Uno's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ishida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Uno is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Uno has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Uno is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Ishida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Uno’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mitsuhiro
Ishida
In 12:31, how much damage will he do? Ishida Uno
Significant Strikes47
Ishida's average striking offense is matched by Uno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:31
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns5
Ishida's excellent takedown offense will dominate Uno's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:31
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ishida is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ishida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ishida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Uno 8.0
fighter Ishida 8.2
Great striking by Ishida
16 strikes Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
8 strikes Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
29 strikes Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Uno 8.2
fighter Ishida 9.5
Great takedowns by Ishida
5 takedowns Mar 08, 2009 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Dec 31, 2007 vs Melendez
4 takedowns Jun 04, 2006 vs Aurelio

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Uno 5.7
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great knockouts by Ishida
Round 3 Aug 20, 2005 vs Nakakura
Round 1 Mar 12, 2005 vs Sato
Round 2 Nov 26, 2001 vs Kojima

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Uno 8.1
fighter Ishida 6.7
Great submissions by Uno
Round 3 Jun 22, 2013 vs Avila
Round 2 May 11, 2008 vs Ishida
Round 3 May 29, 1999 vs Sato

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Uno 7.4
fighter Ishida 7.3
Fast finishes by Uno
399 seconds May 11, 2008 vs Ishida
108 seconds Jun 29, 2001 vs Iha
141 seconds Dec 17, 2000 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 11, 2008Dream 3
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
XDEC
1,8602,017
1,9311,946
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Uno
legend Ishida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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