UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Griffin vs Evans

2,076

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 7.7 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 6.7 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 8.8 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Forrest Griffin
A lot taller 191 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.8 Around 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.2 vs 8.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Longer reach 196 cm vs 191 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 11:59, how much damage will he do? Evans Griffin
Significant Strikes62
Evans's good striking offense may be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:59
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Evans's good takedown offense is matched by Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:59
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Forrest
Griffin
In 11:59, how much damage will he do? Griffin Evans
Significant Strikes49
Griffin's excellent striking offense is matched by Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:59
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Griffin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:59
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Griffin has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Griffin 9.2
Great striking by Griffin
50 strikes Feb 05, 2011 vs Franklin
77 strikes Jul 05, 2008 vs Jackson
66 strikes Sep 22, 2007 vs Rua

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Griffin 7.7
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Griffin 6.7
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Griffin 7.8
Great submissions by Griffin
Round 3 Sep 22, 2007 vs Rua
Round 1 Jun 04, 2005 vs Mahood
Round 1 Jul 31, 2003 vs Fontes Braga

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Griffin 7.8
Fast finishes by Evans
245 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
766 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
411 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 27, 2008UFC 92
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
XDEC
2,0712,112
2,0272,156
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Griffin
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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