UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Griffin vs Horn

2,076

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Griffin

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
74% chance Griffin
WILL WIN

1,897

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Forrest Griffin
Better striker 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much better takedown defense 8.8 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 196 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 6.7 vs 6.5 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 186 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 38 years vs 42 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Jeremy Horn
Much better submission offense 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.8 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.7 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Griffin on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Horn’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Forrest
Griffin
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Griffin Horn
Significant Strikes75
Griffin's excellent striking offense will dominate Horn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Griffin's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Horn's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Griffin is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Griffin is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Griffin has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Horn on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Griffin’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jeremy
Horn
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Horn Griffin
Significant Strikes37
Horn's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Poor
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Horn's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Griffin's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Horn is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Horn has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Horn is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Griffin 9.2
fighter Horn 7.7
Great striking by Griffin
50 strikes Feb 05, 2011 vs Franklin
77 strikes Jul 05, 2008 vs Jackson
66 strikes Sep 22, 2007 vs Rua

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Griffin 7.7
fighter Horn 8.1
Great takedowns by Horn
2 takedowns Sep 06, 2003 vs Griffin
8 takedowns Jun 23, 2002 vs Yvel
1 takedown Sep 22, 2000 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Griffin 6.7
fighter Horn 6.5
Great knockouts by Griffin
Round 1 Oct 07, 2005 vs Sinosic
Round 1 Dec 18, 2003 vs Ramos
Round 1 Oct 26, 2002 vs Fulton

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Griffin 7.8
fighter Horn 9.2
Great submissions by Horn
Round 2 May 27, 2006 vs Sonnen
Round 1 Apr 29, 2005 vs Burkman
Round 1 Feb 28, 2004 vs Loiseau

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Griffin 7.8
fighter Horn 8.7
Fast finishes by Horn
74 seconds Apr 29, 2005 vs Burkman
214 seconds May 06, 2004 vs Sonnen
520 seconds Sep 06, 2003 vs Griffin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 6, 2003IFC - Global Domination
team
VS
team
XR2 KO
XR1 SUB
1,8972,055
1,8682,084
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Griffin
legend Horn
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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