UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Salaverry vs Palhares

1,718

CageRank

WINNER
Palhares

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
90% chance Palhares
WILL WIN

2,100

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rousimar Palhares
Much better submission offense 9.7 vs 7.0 Around 40% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 9.6 vs 7.6 More than 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 37 years vs 46 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Ivan Salaverry
Much heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better striker 8.2 vs 7.5 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 192 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 173 cm More than 5% taller
Harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Heavier 184 lbs vs 169 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.3 Almost the same
Palhares on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Salaverry’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rousimar
Palhares
In 4:33, how much damage will he do? Palhares Salaverry
Significant Strikes8
Palhares's poor striking offense won't be a factor against Salaverry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:33
Poor
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Palhares's average takedown offense may be a factor against Salaverry's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:33
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palhares is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Palhares has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Palhares is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Salaverry on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palhares’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ivan
Salaverry
In 4:33, how much damage will he do? Salaverry Palhares
Significant Strikes14
Salaverry's average striking offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 41 Significant Strikes in 4:33
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Salaverry's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Palhares's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 2 Takedowns in 4:33
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Salaverry is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Salaverry is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Salaverry is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palhares 7.5
fighter Salaverry 8.2
Great striking by Salaverry
2 strikes Apr 16, 2005 vs Riggs
9 strikes Oct 22, 2004 vs Fryklund
43 strikes May 10, 2002 vs Semenov

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palhares 8.3
fighter Salaverry 7.6
Great takedowns by Palhares
2 takedowns Aug 27, 2011 vs Miller
1 takedown Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares
7 takedowns Jan 17, 2009 vs Horn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palhares 6.3
fighter Salaverry 7.3
Great knockouts by Salaverry
Round 2 Jul 22, 2006 vs Santore
Round 3 May 10, 2002 vs Semenov
Round 1 Aug 31, 2001 vs Heath

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Palhares 9.7
fighter Salaverry 7.0
Great submissions by Palhares
Round 1 Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Round 2 Dec 12, 2009 vs Linhares

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palhares 9.6
fighter Salaverry 7.6
Fast finishes by Palhares
31 seconds Oct 09, 2013 vs Pierce
404 seconds Mar 03, 2011 vs Branch
45 seconds Mar 27, 2010 vs Drwal
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 24, 2008UFC 84
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
XR2 SUB
1,8221,830
1,7731,879
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palhares
legend Salaverry
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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