UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs Struve

2,091

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
64% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

1,990

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier hands 9.2 vs 8.1 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 7.7 vs 7.3 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.0 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Stefan Struve
Much taller 213 cm vs 193 cm More than 10% taller
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 6.9 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly heavier 264 lbs vs 239 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 29 years vs 33 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Struve’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 11:20, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Struve
Significant Strikes84
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:20
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Struve's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:20
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Struve on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stefan
Struve
In 11:20, how much damage will he do? Struve dos Santos
Significant Strikes36
Struve's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 102 Significant Strikes in 11:20
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Struve's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:20
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Struve has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Struve is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Struve is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Santos 9.6
fighter Struve 8.4
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Santos 7.7
fighter Struve 7.3
Great takedowns by dos Santos
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Hunt
2 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Carwin
1 takedown Aug 07, 2010 vs Nelson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter Struve 8.1
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter Struve 8.0
Great submissions by Struve
Round 1 May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 01, 2011 vs Barry
Round 1 Oct 24, 2009 vs Gormley

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter Struve 8.8
Fast finishes by Struve
530 seconds Sep 29, 2012 vs Miocic
65 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Johnson
532 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs Herman
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 21, 2009UFC 95
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
XR2 SUB
1,7871,869
1,8481,807
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend Struve
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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