UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs Miocic

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Miocic

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
51% chance Miocic
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Much stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 244 lbs vs 239 lbs Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Significantly harder to hit 9.1 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? Miocic dos Santos
Significant Strikes56
Miocic's excellent striking offense will dominate dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 12:35, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Miocic
Significant Strikes90
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 113 Significant Strikes in 12:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:35
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter dos Santos 9.6
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Miocic 8.7
fighter dos Santos 7.7
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Miocic 9.1
fighter dos Santos 9.2
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Miocic 6.6
fighter dos Santos 6.9
Great submissions by dos Santos
Round 3 Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Maiorino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Miocic 8.9
fighter dos Santos 8.6
Fast finishes by Miocic
494 seconds May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
43 seconds Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
567 seconds Jun 04, 2011 vs Brents
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 13, 2017UFC 211
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
December 13, 2014UFC on Fox 13
team
VS
team
R5 DECX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Miocic
legend dos Santos
Read More
dos Santos vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
Showing 3 comments.
Dos Santos kicked ass!
I'm a proud Croatian-American. I hope Stipe breaks his Brazilian mutt face.
Dos Santos by k.o round 1,
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