UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs Lawler

2,091

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Slightly heavier hands 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.8 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier 239 lbs vs 169 lbs More than 40% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Significantly better submission offense 6.9 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
A lot taller 193 cm vs 180 cm More than 5% taller
Significantly better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.3 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger takedown offense 7.7 vs 7.4 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Slightly younger 33 years vs 35 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 12:53, how much damage will he do? Lawler dos Santos
Significant Strikes52
Lawler's good striking offense is matched by dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:53
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:53
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 12:53, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Lawler
Significant Strikes78
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 116 Significant Strikes in 12:53
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:53
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter dos Santos 9.6
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter dos Santos 7.7
Great takedowns by dos Santos
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Hunt
2 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Carwin
1 takedown Aug 07, 2010 vs Nelson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter dos Santos 9.2
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter dos Santos 6.9
Great submissions by dos Santos
Round 3 Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic
Round 1 Dec 09, 2006 vs Maiorino

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter dos Santos 8.6
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend dos Santos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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