UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs Filipovic

2,091

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
84% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

1,801

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker 9.6 vs 8.4 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger takedown offense 7.7 vs 6.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much heavier hands 9.2 vs 7.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Younger 33 years vs 42 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 8.0 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.3 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 239 lbs vs 233 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Mirko Filipovic
Better takedown defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Filipovic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
In 12:19, how much damage will he do? dos Santos Filipovic
Significant Strikes73
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Filipovic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:19
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Filipovic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:19
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Filipovic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mirko
Filipovic
In 12:19, how much damage will he do? Filipovic dos Santos
Significant Strikes40
Filipovic's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 111 Significant Strikes in 12:19
Average
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Filipovic's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:19
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Filipovic is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Filipovic is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Filipovic is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter dos Santos 9.6
fighter Filipovic 8.4
Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes May 26, 2012 vs Mir
8 strikes Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
70 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Filipovic

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter dos Santos 7.7
fighter Filipovic 6.5
Great takedowns by dos Santos
1 takedown May 25, 2013 vs Hunt
2 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Carwin
1 takedown Aug 07, 2010 vs Nelson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter Filipovic 7.7
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter dos Santos 6.9
fighter Filipovic 7.3
Great submissions by Filipovic
Round 1 Sep 10, 2006 vs Barnett
Round 1 Dec 31, 2004 vs Randleman
Round 1 Oct 31, 2004 vs Barnett

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter Filipovic 8.0
Fast finishes by dos Santos
484 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Mir
64 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
81 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 19, 2009UFC 103
team
VS
team
R3 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,8482,021
1,9211,948
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend Filipovic
Read More
dos Santos vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Filipovic vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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