Junior dos Santos Cigano 17-5

Weight 239 lbs
Height 6' 4"
Reach
Age 34

Roy Nelson 26-15 Big Country

248 lbs
6' 0"
73"
41

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs Nelson

CageRank

WINNER

64% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Junior dos Santos

Better striker	9.6	vs	8.4	Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit	9.1	vs	8.3	Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
A lot taller	193 cm	vs	183 cm	More than 5% taller
Younger	34 years	vs	41 years	More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better takedown defense	9.0	vs	8.8	Almost the same
Stronger takedown offense	7.7	vs	7.6	Almost the same

Advantages for Roy Nelson

Better submission defense	9.4	vs	8.7	Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes	9.2	vs	8.6	More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier	248 lbs	vs	239 lbs	Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger jaw	9.6	vs	9.4	Almost the same

dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills

Predictions For Junior dos Santos
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	dos Santos		Nelson
Significant Strikes110 dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Nelson's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Below average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nelson's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by decision	Average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability

Nelson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills

Predictions For Roy Nelson
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Nelson		dos Santos
Significant Strikes48 Nelson's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Average Striking	vs	Good Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1 Nelson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Good Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Nelson is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Nelson is unlikely to win by decision	Poor Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability