CAGERANK PREDICTION
Who will win - dos Santos vs Nelson
Differences
What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Better striker | 9.6 | vs | 8.4 | Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders |
Much harder to hit | 9.1 | vs | 8.3 | Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage |
A lot taller | 193 cm | vs | 183 cm | More than 5% taller |
Younger | 34 years | vs | 41 years | More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon |
Better takedown defense | 9.0 | vs | 8.8 | Almost the same |
Stronger takedown offense | 7.7 | vs | 7.6 | Almost the same |
Advantages for Roy Nelson
Better submission defense | 9.4 | vs | 8.7 | Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap |
Fast finishes | 9.2 | vs | 8.6 | More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss |
Heavier | 248 lbs | vs | 239 lbs | Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control |
Stronger jaw | 9.6 | vs | 9.4 | Almost the same |
dos Santos on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Nelson’s defensive skills
Predictions For Junior dos Santos |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | dos Santos | Nelson | |
Significant Strikes110
dos Santos's excellent striking offense will dominate Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Excellent
Striking
|
vs |
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
dos Santos's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Nelson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by decision |
Average
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Average
Scoring ability
|
Nelson on the attack
Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For Roy Nelson |
|||
---|---|---|---|
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? | Nelson | dos Santos | |
Significant Strikes48
Nelson's average striking offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00 |
Average
Striking
|
vs |
Good
Blocking and avoiding
|
Takedowns1
Nelson's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against dos Santos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00 |
Below average
Takedown ability
|
vs |
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
|
If he wins, how will it go down? | |||
Knockout
Nelson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout |
Excellent
Knockout ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Jaw
|
Submission
Nelson is unlikely to win by submission |
Below average
Submission ability
|
vs |
Excellent
Resistance
|
Decision
Nelson is unlikely to win by decision |
Poor
Scoring ability
|
vs |
Good
Scoring ability
|
OFFENSE
Who’s better on the attack?
striking
Who can land devastating blows when it matters?Great striking by dos Santos
59 strikes | May 26, 2012 | vs Mir |
8 strikes | Nov 12, 2011 | vs Velasquez |
70 strikes | Sep 19, 2009 | vs Filipovic |
knockouts
Who's better at knocking out opponents?Great knockouts by Nelson
Round 1 | Apr 27, 2013 | vs Kongo |
Round 1 | May 26, 2012 | vs Herman |
Round 1 | Mar 31, 2010 | vs Struve |
submissions
Who can finish it on the ground?Great submissions by dos Santos
Round 3 | Sep 19, 2009 | vs Filipovic |
Round 1 | Dec 09, 2006 | vs Maiorino |
Fight History
Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
Cage Rank Over Time
See how Cage Rank changes with each fight


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Comments
Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?