UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - dos Santos vs Tuivasa

2,091

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
dos Santos

prediction

BY KO ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance dos Santos
WILL WIN

1,550

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Junior dos Santos
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 7.3 Around 35% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 9.2 vs 7.8 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better submission defense 8.7 vs 7.2 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.8 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Advantages for Tai Tuivasa
Significantly younger 25 years vs 34 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better submission offense 7.2 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 264 lbs vs 239 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
dos Santos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Tuivasa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Junior
dos Santos
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
dos Santos has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
dos Santos is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
dos Santos has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Tuivasa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against dos Santos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tai
Tuivasa
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Tuivasa is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Tuivasa is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Tuivasa is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter dos Santos 9.2
fighter Tuivasa 7.8
Great knockouts by dos Santos
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs Mir
Round 1 Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
Round 1 Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter dos Santos 8.6
fighter Tuivasa 7.8
Fast finishes by dos Santos
484 seconds May 26, 2012 vs Mir
64 seconds Nov 12, 2011 vs Velasquez
81 seconds Oct 25, 2008 vs Werdum
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend dos Santos
legend Tuivasa
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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