UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Jones

2,192

CageRank

WINNER
Jones

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
74% chance Jones
WILL WIN

2,377

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jon Jones
Much stronger takedown offense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much longer reach 215 cm vs 196 cm Around 10% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.9 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly younger 29 years vs 39 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Harder to hit 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better takedown defense 9.9 vs 9.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly heavier 242 lbs vs 205 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.6 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Jones on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jon
Jones
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jones Werdum
Significant Strikes84
Jones's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Jones's excellent takedown offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jones has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jones has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jones’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Werdum Jones
Significant Strikes54
Werdum's excellent striking offense is matched by Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Jones's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jones 9.6
fighter Werdum 9.1
Great striking by Jones
20 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
105 strikes Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
61 strikes Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Jones 9.4
fighter Werdum 8.6
Great takedowns by Jones
3 takedowns Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
1 takedown Apr 21, 2012 vs Evans
2 takedowns Sep 24, 2011 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jones 8.6
fighter Werdum 7.9
Great knockouts by Jones
Round 1 Apr 27, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Mar 19, 2011 vs Rua
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Matyushenko

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jones 8.2
fighter Werdum 8.5
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jones 8.9
fighter Werdum 9.0
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jones
legend Werdum
Read More
Werdum vs Rockhold
Fantasy Cage Match
Jones vs McGregor
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus