UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Miocic

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
63% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,101

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.6 Around 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.3 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.9 Almost the same
Advantages for Stipe Miocic
Significantly heavier hands 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 203 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 34 years vs 39 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Slightly stronger takedown offense 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Miocic’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 11:09, how much damage will he do? Werdum Miocic
Significant Strikes69
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:09
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by Miocic's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Miocic on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Stipe
Miocic
In 11:09, how much damage will he do? Miocic Werdum
Significant Strikes46
Miocic's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 100 Significant Strikes in 11:09
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Miocic's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 11:09
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Miocic is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Miocic has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Miocic 8.9
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Miocic 8.7
Great takedowns by Miocic
1 takedown Jan 25, 2014 vs Gonzaga
1 takedown Jun 15, 2013 vs Nelson
2 takedowns May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Miocic 9.1
Great knockouts by Miocic
Round 2 May 26, 2012 vs del Rosario
Round 1 Feb 15, 2012 vs De Fries
Round 1 Feb 16, 2008 vs Stansbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Miocic 6.6
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Miocic 8.9
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 14, 2016UFC 198
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Miocic
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Miocic vs Velasquez
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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