UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Mir

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

1,948

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Significantly stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Frank Mir
Heavier 261 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Longer reach 201 cm vs 196 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Werdum Mir
Significant Strikes81
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Mir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Mir
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Mir Werdum
Significant Strikes51
Mir's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mir's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mir is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mir has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mir has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Mir 8.7
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Mir 8.1
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Mir 7.2
Great knockouts by Werdum
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Vera
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Gonzaga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Mir 8.1
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Mir 8.4
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Mir
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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