Fabricio Werdum Vai Cavalo 21-6-1

Weight 242 lbs
Height 6' 4"
Reach 77"
Age 39

Mike Kyle 24-15-1 MAK

205 lbs
6' 3"
77"
37

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Kyle

CageRank

WINNER

86% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Fabricio Werdum

Much better submission offense	8.5	vs	6.4	More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much better takedown defense	9.5	vs	8.1	More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Fast finishes	9.0	vs	8.1	More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight	10.0	vs	8.6	More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger takedown offense	8.6	vs	7.6	More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission defense	9.4	vs	8.3	Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw	9.5	vs	8.6	More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit	9.2	vs	8.8	More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly heavier	242 lbs	vs	205 lbs	Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker	9.1	vs	8.8	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Taller	193 cm	vs	191 cm	Almost the same

Advantages for Mike Kyle

Heavier hands	8.1	vs	7.9	Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Slightly younger	37 years	vs	39 years	More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kyle’s defensive skills

Predictions For Fabricio Werdum
In 8:31, how much damage will he do?	Werdum		Kyle
Significant Strikes46 Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Kyle's defense Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:31	Excellent Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by Kyle's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:31	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout	Good Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Werdum has a good chance of winning by submission	Excellent Submission ability	vs	Good Resistance
Decision Werdum is unlikely to win by decision	Good Scoring ability	vs	Excellent Scoring ability

Kyle on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills

Predictions For Mike Kyle
In 8:31, how much damage will he do?	Kyle		Werdum
Significant Strikes32 Kyle's good striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:31	Good Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0 Kyle's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:31	Below average Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Kyle has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Kyle is unlikely to win by submission	Poor Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Kyle is unlikely to win by decision	Below average Scoring ability	vs	Average Scoring ability