UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Gonzaga

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
80% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

1,950

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better striker 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.1 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 193 cm vs 188 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better submission offense 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Gabriel Gonzaga
Heavier 258 lbs vs 242 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Better takedown defense 9.7 vs 9.5 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Slightly younger 37 years vs 39 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gonzaga’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Werdum Gonzaga
Significant Strikes83
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Gonzaga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gonzaga's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Gonzaga on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gabriel
Gonzaga
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gonzaga Werdum
Significant Strikes49
Gonzaga's average striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gonzaga's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gonzaga has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gonzaga has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gonzaga is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Gonzaga 8.6
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Gonzaga 8.5
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Gonzaga 8.3
Great knockouts by Gonzaga
Round 1 Oct 19, 2013 vs Jordan
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Tuchscherer
Round 1 Apr 21, 2007 vs Filipovic

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Gonzaga 8.2
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Gonzaga 9.0
Fast finishes by Gonzaga
361 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Rothwell
147 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Tuchscherer
291 seconds Apr 21, 2007 vs Filipovic
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 19, 2008UFC 80
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
R1 SUBX
1,8851,860
1,9311,814
September 13, 2003JF 1 - Jungle Fight 1
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,6341,608
1,6801,562
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Gonzaga
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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