UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Russow

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
86% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

1,884

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.1 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly longer reach 196 cm vs 185 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
A lot taller 193 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% taller
Significantly better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Advantages for Mike Russow
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Heavier 256 lbs vs 242 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Russow’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 8:24, how much damage will he do? Werdum Russow
Significant Strikes51
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Russow's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:24
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Russow's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:24
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Russow on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mike
Russow
In 8:24, how much damage will he do? Russow Werdum
Significant Strikes19
Russow's average striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 76 Significant Strikes in 8:24
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Russow's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:24
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Russow is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Russow is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Russow has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Russow 8.0
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Russow 9.0
Great takedowns by Russow
6 takedowns Jan 28, 2012 vs Olav Einemo
3 takedowns Mar 26, 2011 vs Madsen
8 takedowns Aug 29, 2009 vs McCully

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Russow 7.6
Great knockouts by Werdum
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Vera
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Gonzaga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Russow 7.8
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Russow 8.1
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 23, 2012UFC 147
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 SUBX
2,0611,999
2,1021,958
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Russow
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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