UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Kharitonov

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
70% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

2,048

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 7.5 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 9.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.5 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Sergei Kharitonov
Significantly heavier hands 9.0 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 258 lbs vs 242 lbs More than 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Younger 37 years vs 40 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 9.0 Almost the same
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Kharitonov’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Werdum Kharitonov
Significant Strikes60
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Kharitonov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Kharitonov's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Kharitonov on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sergei
Kharitonov
In 10:26, how much damage will he do? Kharitonov Werdum
Significant Strikes48
Kharitonov's excellent striking offense is matched by Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 94 Significant Strikes in 10:26
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Kharitonov's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:26
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Kharitonov has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Kharitonov is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Kharitonov is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Kharitonov 9.2
Great striking by Kharitonov
21 strikes Feb 12, 2011 vs Arlovski
24 strikes Sep 17, 2007 vs Overeem
31 strikes Jun 26, 2005 vs Rizzo

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Kharitonov 7.5
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Kharitonov 9.0
Great knockouts by Kharitonov
Round 1 Feb 12, 2011 vs Arlovski
Round 1 Sep 17, 2007 vs Overeem
Round 1 Jun 20, 2004 vs Schilt

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Kharitonov 7.8
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Kharitonov 9.2
Fast finishes by Kharitonov
169 seconds Feb 12, 2011 vs Arlovski
261 seconds Sep 17, 2007 vs Overeem
122 seconds Jun 26, 2005 vs Rizzo
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 23, 2005Pride 30
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR2 KO
1,8181,951
1,7861,983
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Kharitonov
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus