UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Erikson

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
96% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

1,621

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 7.0 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better striker 9.1 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 7.8 Around 30% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 7.8 More than 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.0 Around 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much younger 39 years vs 53 years More than 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.2 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 9.2 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Taller 193 cm vs 191 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Tom Erikson
Significantly heavier 280 lbs vs 242 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Erikson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 4:55, how much damage will he do? Werdum Erikson
Significant Strikes23
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Erikson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:55
Excellent
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Erikson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:55
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Werdum is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Erikson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tom
Erikson
In 4:55, how much damage will he do? Erikson Werdum
Significant Strikes10
Erikson's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 44 Significant Strikes in 4:55
Below average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Erikson's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:55
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Erikson is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Erikson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Erikson is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Erikson 7.9
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Erikson 9.1
Great takedowns by Erikson
1 takedown Feb 24, 2002 vs Catalfo
1 takedown Nov 03, 2001 vs Skelton
1 takedown Nov 21, 1999 vs Goodridge

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Erikson 7.2
Great knockouts by Werdum
Round 1 Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
Round 1 Jun 07, 2008 vs Vera
Round 2 Jan 19, 2008 vs Gonzaga

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Erikson 7.0
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Erikson 7.7
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 20, 2005Pride 29
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XR2 KO
1,7361,791
1,7941,733
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Erikson
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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