UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Werdum vs Harris

2,192

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Werdum

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
94% chance Werdum
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Fabricio Werdum
Much better submission offense 8.5 vs 6.5 More than 30% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Puts up a fight 10.0 vs 8.0 Around 25% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much better takedown defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.2 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.5 vs 8.0 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.0 More than 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Walt Harris
Heavier hands 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 252 lbs vs 242 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Werdum on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Harris’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Fabricio
Werdum
In 5:50, how much damage will he do? Werdum Harris
Significant Strikes38
Werdum's excellent striking offense will dominate Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:50
Excellent
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Werdum's average takedown offense is matched by Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Werdum has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Werdum has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Werdum has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Harris on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Werdum’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Walt
Harris
In 5:50, how much damage will he do? Harris Werdum
Significant Strikes15
Harris's average striking offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 52 Significant Strikes in 5:50
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Harris's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Werdum's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:50
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Harris has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Harris is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Harris is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Werdum 9.1
fighter Harris 8.2
Great striking by Werdum
32 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
31 strikes Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
1 strike Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.6
fighter Harris 8.0
Great takedowns by Werdum
1 takedown Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
3 takedowns Nov 07, 2009 vs Silva
1 takedown May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Werdum 7.9
fighter Harris 8.7
Great knockouts by Harris
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Robertson
Round 1 Feb 16, 2012 vs Hamilton
Round 1 May 07, 2011 vs Little

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Werdum 8.5
fighter Harris 6.5
Great submissions by Werdum
Round 2 Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Round 2 May 05, 2006 vs Overeem

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Werdum 9.0
fighter Harris 8.5
Fast finishes by Werdum
461 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Nogueira
148 seconds Jun 23, 2012 vs Russow
69 seconds Jun 26, 2010 vs Emelianenko
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 7, 2017UFC 216
team
VS
team
R1 SUBX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Werdum
legend Harris
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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