UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Palelei vs Harris

1,928

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Palelei

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
78% chance Palelei
WILL WIN

1,707

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Soa Palelei
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Better submission defense 8.6 vs 8.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better striker 8.5 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 264 lbs vs 252 lbs Around 5% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Advantages for Walt Harris
Younger 35 years vs 40 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Palelei on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Harris’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Soa
Palelei
In 5:57, how much damage will he do? Palelei Harris
Significant Strikes32
Palelei's average striking offense may be a factor against Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 54 Significant Strikes in 5:57
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Palelei's good takedown offense may be a factor against Harris's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:57
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Palelei has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Palelei is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Palelei is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Harris on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Palelei’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Walt
Harris
In 5:57, how much damage will he do? Harris Palelei
Significant Strikes23
Harris's average striking offense is matched by Palelei's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 54 Significant Strikes in 5:57
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Harris's average takedown offense is matched by Palelei's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 5:57
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Harris has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Harris is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Harris is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Palelei 8.5
fighter Harris 8.2
Great striking by Palelei
12 strikes Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
29 strikes Aug 31, 2013 vs Krylov

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Palelei 9.0
fighter Harris 8.0
Great takedowns by Palelei
1 takedown Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
4 takedowns Aug 31, 2013 vs Krylov

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Palelei 9.4
fighter Harris 8.7
Great knockouts by Palelei
Round 1 Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
Round 3 Aug 31, 2013 vs Krylov
Round 1 Dec 07, 2012 vs McCorkle

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Palelei 9.0
fighter Harris 8.5
Fast finishes by Palelei
129 seconds Dec 07, 2013 vs Barry
105 seconds Dec 07, 2012 vs McCorkle
260 seconds Jul 18, 2010 vs Morris
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 7, 2014UFC Fight Night 55
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Palelei
legend Harris
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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