UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jardine vs Rockhold

1,774

CageRank

WINNER
Rockhold

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
87% chance Rockhold
WILL WIN

2,108

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Luke Rockhold
Fast finishes 9.5 vs 7.4 Around 30% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 6.4 Around 35% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 33 years vs 42 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier hands 7.9 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Longer reach 196 cm vs 193 cm Almost the same
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Keith Jardine
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Rockhold on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jardine’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luke
Rockhold
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Rockhold Jardine
Significant Strikes88
Rockhold's excellent striking offense will dominate Jardine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Rockhold's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Jardine's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rockhold has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Jardine on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rockhold’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Keith
Jardine
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Jardine Rockhold
Significant Strikes60
Jardine's good striking offense is matched by Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Jardine's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Rockhold's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jardine is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jardine is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jardine is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rockhold 9.1
fighter Jardine 8.7
Great striking by Rockhold
12 strikes Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
60 strikes Jul 14, 2012 vs Kennedy
97 strikes Sep 10, 2011 vs Souza

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rockhold 7.4
fighter Jardine 7.4
Great takedowns by Jardine
2 takedowns Oct 18, 2008 vs Vera
1 takedown Jun 24, 2006 vs Gouveia
2 takedowns Jun 19, 2002 vs Preece

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rockhold 7.9
fighter Jardine 7.3
Great knockouts by Rockhold
Round 1 Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
Round 1 Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Bradley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rockhold 8.6
fighter Jardine 6.4
Great submissions by Rockhold
Round 1 Nov 06, 2009 vs Taylor
Round 1 Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Round 1 Nov 21, 2008 vs Theotikos

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rockhold 9.5
fighter Jardine 7.4
Fast finishes by Rockhold
151 seconds Jan 15, 2014 vs Philippou
266 seconds Jan 07, 2012 vs Jardine
30 seconds Jun 19, 2009 vs Devela
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XDEC
1,8741,949
1,8351,988
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rockhold
legend Jardine
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus