UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Liddell vs Rua

1,947

CageRank

WINNER
Rua

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
60% chance Rua
WILL WIN

2,020

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Mauricio Rua
Significantly stronger jaw 8.9 vs 7.9 Around 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly younger 36 years vs 47 years Around 25% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly heavier hands 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.3 vs 9.1 Almost the same
Advantages for Chuck Liddell
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.1 Around 25% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Rua on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Liddell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mauricio
Rua
In 8:35, how much damage will he do? Rua Liddell
Significant Strikes50
Rua's excellent striking offense will dominate Liddell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Rua's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Liddell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:35
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Rua has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Rua is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Rua is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Liddell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Rua’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chuck
Liddell
In 8:35, how much damage will he do? Liddell Rua
Significant Strikes36
Liddell's excellent striking offense is matched by Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:35
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Liddell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Rua's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:35
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Liddell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Liddell is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Liddell is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Liddell 9.1
Great striking by Rua
16 strikes Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
17 strikes May 08, 2010 vs Machida
48 strikes Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Rua 8.3
fighter Liddell 7.9
Great takedowns by Rua
8 takedowns Dec 31, 2006 vs Nakamura
7 takedowns Jun 26, 2005 vs Rogerio Nogueira
1 takedown Apr 23, 2005 vs Jackson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Rua 9.3
fighter Liddell 8.5
Great knockouts by Rua
Round 1 Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
Round 1 May 08, 2010 vs Machida
Round 1 Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Rua 6.5
fighter Liddell 6.5
Great submissions by Liddell
Round 1 Mar 31, 1999 vs Williams

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Rua 8.8
fighter Liddell 8.4
Fast finishes by Rua
113 seconds Aug 27, 2011 vs Griffin
215 seconds May 08, 2010 vs Machida
268 seconds Apr 18, 2009 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 18, 2009UFC 97
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XR1 KO
2,0392,070
1,9942,115
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Rua
legend Liddell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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