UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Liddell vs Manuwa

1,947

CageRank

WINNER
Manuwa

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
57% chance Manuwa
WILL WIN

1,996

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Jimi Manuwa
Much heavier hands 9.9 vs 8.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly younger 38 years vs 48 years More than 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Longer reach 202 cm vs 193 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 8.7 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Chuck Liddell
Much better takedown defense 10.0 vs 8.3 Around 20% better at avoiding being taken down
Better striker 9.1 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Manuwa on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Liddell’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jimi
Manuwa
In 8:30, how much damage will he do? Manuwa Liddell
Significant Strikes40
Manuwa's good striking offense may be a factor against Liddell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:30
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Manuwa's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Liddell's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:30
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Manuwa has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Manuwa is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Manuwa is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Liddell on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Manuwa’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chuck
Liddell
In 8:30, how much damage will he do? Liddell Manuwa
Significant Strikes50
Liddell's excellent striking offense will dominate Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 77 Significant Strikes in 8:30
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Liddell's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Manuwa's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:30
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Liddell has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Liddell is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Liddell is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Manuwa 8.7
fighter Liddell 9.1
Great striking by Liddell
49 strikes Dec 30, 2006 vs Ortiz
17 strikes Aug 26, 2006 vs Sobral
64 strikes Aug 20, 2005 vs Horn

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Manuwa 8.4
fighter Liddell 7.9
Great takedowns by Manuwa
3 takedowns Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Manuwa 9.9
fighter Liddell 8.5
Great knockouts by Manuwa
Round 2 Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
Round 1 Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
Round 2 Sep 29, 2012 vs Kingsbury

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Manuwa 6.5
fighter Liddell 6.5
Great submissions by Liddell
Round 1 Mar 31, 1999 vs Williams

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Manuwa 8.9
fighter Liddell 8.4
Fast finishes by Manuwa
581 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Jimmo
300 seconds Feb 16, 2013 vs Diabate
188 seconds Aug 07, 2010 vs Petrescu
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Manuwa
legend Liddell
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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