UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Gomi

2,047

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
55% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

2,012

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.2 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.3 Around 15% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.1 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission offense 7.3 vs 7.0 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Younger 35 years vs 38 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Takanori Gomi
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gomi’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Gomi
Significant Strikes81
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by Gomi's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Gomi on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Takanori
Gomi
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Gomi Sanchez
Significant Strikes84
Gomi's good striking offense may be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Gomi's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gomi has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Gomi is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Gomi has a chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Gomi 8.9
Great striking by Gomi
5 strikes Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
14 strikes Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
35 strikes Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Gomi 7.2
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Gomi 8.4
Great knockouts by Gomi
Round 2 Feb 26, 2012 vs Mitsuoka
Round 1 Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
Round 1 Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Gomi 7.0
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Gomi 8.2
Fast finishes by Gomi
64 seconds Aug 01, 2010 vs Griffin
74 seconds Dec 31, 2006 vs Ishida
462 seconds Sep 25, 2005 vs Kawajiri
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
March 3, 2013UFC on Fuel TV 8
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 SUBX
2,0432,020
2,0901,973
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Gomi
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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