UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Diaz

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
51% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,056

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nate Diaz
Much better submission offense 8.6 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Younger 31 years vs 35 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much better takedown defense 9.2 vs 7.9 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.8 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nate
Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Diaz Sanchez
Significant Strikes95
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Diaz
Significant Strikes72
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns4
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.3
fighter Sanchez 8.7
Great striking by Diaz
33 strikes Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
46 strikes May 05, 2012 vs Miller
238 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Cerrone

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.8
fighter Sanchez 8.5
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 7.4
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
Round 1 Mar 27, 2010 vs Markham
Round 1 May 05, 2006 vs Rael

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.6
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 2 May 05, 2012 vs Miller
Round 1 Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Round 3 Aug 28, 2010 vs Davis

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Sanchez 7.7
Fast finishes by Diaz
158 seconds Nov 30, 2013 vs Maynard
549 seconds May 05, 2012 vs Miller
267 seconds Sep 24, 2011 vs Gomi
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Sanchez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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