UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Florian

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Florian

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
52% chance Florian
WILL WIN

2,061

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kenny Florian
Much better submission offense 8.8 vs 7.3 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.4 vs 8.5 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.7 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.4 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 35 years vs 41 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Heavier 155 lbs vs 144 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Florian on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kenny
Florian
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Florian Sanchez
Significant Strikes71
Florian's average striking offense is matched by Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Florian's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Florian is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Florian has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Florian has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Florian’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Florian
Significant Strikes50
Sanchez's good striking offense won't be a factor against Florian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by Florian's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Florian 8.5
fighter Sanchez 8.7
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Florian 9.0
fighter Sanchez 8.5
Great takedowns by Florian
1 takedown Mar 31, 2010 vs Gomi
1 takedown Nov 15, 2008 vs Stevenson
5 takedowns Aug 09, 2008 vs Huerta

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Florian 7.2
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Sanchez
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Fioravanti
Round 1 Dec 13, 2006 vs Riggs
Round 1 Apr 09, 2005 vs Florian

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Florian 8.8
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great submissions by Florian
Round 3 Mar 31, 2010 vs Gomi
Round 1 Nov 15, 2008 vs Stevenson
Round 1 Sep 19, 2007 vs Thomas

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Florian 8.5
fighter Sanchez 7.7
Fast finishes by Florian
772 seconds Mar 31, 2010 vs Gomi
243 seconds Nov 15, 2008 vs Stevenson
271 seconds Sep 19, 2007 vs Thomas
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
April 9, 2005TUF 1 Finale
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R2 SUBX
1,8781,577
1,8931,562
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Florian
legend Sanchez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus