UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Lauzon

2,047

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

1,936

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Significantly harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.5 vs 9.0 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier hands 7.3 vs 6.9 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 183 cm vs 180 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Joe Lauzon
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.3 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly fast finishes 8.6 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Younger 33 years vs 36 years Around 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lauzon’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Lauzon
Significant Strikes92
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sanchez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Lauzon's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Lauzon on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Lauzon
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Lauzon Sanchez
Significant Strikes67
Lauzon's average striking offense is matched by Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lauzon's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lauzon is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lauzon has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lauzon is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Lauzon 8.4
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Lauzon 8.3
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Lauzon 6.9
Great knockouts by Sanchez
Round 3 Jun 21, 2008 vs Fioravanti
Round 1 Dec 13, 2006 vs Riggs
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Lauzon 8.7
Great submissions by Lauzon
Round 3 Aug 04, 2012 vs Varner
Round 1 Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
Round 2 Feb 07, 2009 vs Stephens

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Lauzon 8.6
Fast finishes by Lauzon
47 seconds Oct 08, 2011 vs Guillard
74 seconds Nov 17, 2007 vs Reinhardt
48 seconds Sep 23, 2006 vs Pulver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
July 9, 2016UFC 200
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
XX
00
00
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Lauzon
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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