UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Fioravanti

2,047

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
79% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

1,819

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Longer reach 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Luigi Fioravanti
Heavier 183 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Fioravanti’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Fioravanti
Significant Strikes69
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Fioravanti's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sanchez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Fioravanti's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Fioravanti on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Luigi
Fioravanti
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Fioravanti Sanchez
Significant Strikes67
Fioravanti's average striking offense is matched by Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Fioravanti's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Fioravanti is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Fioravanti has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Fioravanti 8.4
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Fioravanti 8.6
Great takedowns by Fioravanti
8 takedowns Dec 10, 2008 vs Farber
13 takedowns Mar 01, 2008 vs Cummo
1 takedown Dec 13, 2006 vs Menne

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Fioravanti 7.6
Great knockouts by Fioravanti
Round 1 Jul 12, 2007 vs Camacho
Round 1 Dec 13, 2006 vs Menne
Round 1 Sep 09, 2006 vs Monma

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Fioravanti 7.3
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Fioravanti 7.8
Fast finishes by Fioravanti
933 seconds Dec 10, 2010 vs Guseinov
284 seconds Dec 13, 2006 vs Menne
151 seconds Sep 09, 2006 vs Monma
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
June 21, 2008TUF 7 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 KOX
R1 SUBX
1,9971,878
2,0301,845
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Fioravanti
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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