UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Lawler

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Lawler

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
68% chance Lawler
WILL WIN

2,180

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Robbie Lawler
Much heavier hands 9.3 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.8 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Stronger jaw 9.9 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 180 cm vs 178 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.3 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.4 More than 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.7 Almost the same
Lawler on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Robbie
Lawler
In 13:18, how much damage will he do? Lawler Sanchez
Significant Strikes70
Lawler's good striking offense may be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 120 Significant Strikes in 13:18
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Lawler's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:18
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lawler is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lawler has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lawler’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 13:18, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Lawler
Significant Strikes55
Sanchez's good striking offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 120 Significant Strikes in 13:18
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by Lawler's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 13:18
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Sanchez 8.7
Great striking by Lawler
44 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs MacDonald
9 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
8 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Lawler 7.4
fighter Sanchez 8.5
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Lawler 9.3
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Lawler
Round 1 Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
Round 2 Jul 23, 2005 vs Vitale

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Lawler 6.3
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Lawler 8.8
fighter Sanchez 7.7
Fast finishes by Lawler
237 seconds Feb 23, 2013 vs Koscheck
213 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Manhoef
22 seconds Oct 21, 2006 vs Villasenor
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Lawler
legend Sanchez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
comments powered by Disqus