UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Riggs

2,047

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Sanchez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Sanchez
WILL WIN

1,942

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Better striker 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 8.8 More than 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.4 Around 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly better submission defense 9.5 vs 8.6 Around 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.6 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Longer reach 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.3 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Advantages for Joe Riggs
Much heavier hands 8.5 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 9.3 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.5 vs 7.7 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Taller 183 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Riggs’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Riggs
Significant Strikes51
Sanchez's good striking offense won't be a factor against Riggs's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Sanchez's average takedown offense is matched by Riggs's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Riggs on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Joe
Riggs
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Riggs Sanchez
Significant Strikes50
Riggs's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Riggs's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Riggs has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Riggs is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Riggs is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Sanchez 8.7
fighter Riggs 7.9
Great striking by Sanchez
65 strikes Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
51 strikes Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
66 strikes Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Sanchez 8.5
fighter Riggs 8.3
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Riggs 8.5
Great knockouts by Riggs
Round 2 Jun 22, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 2 Oct 07, 2005 vs Lytle
Round 3 Jul 19, 2003 vs Wikan

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Sanchez 7.3
fighter Riggs 7.4
Great submissions by Riggs
Round 3 Aug 13, 2010 vs Taylor
Round 1 May 19, 2005 vs Kimmons
Round 2 Aug 21, 2004 vs Doerksen

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Sanchez 7.7
fighter Riggs 8.5
Fast finishes by Riggs
420 seconds Oct 07, 2005 vs Lytle
84 seconds May 19, 2005 vs Kimmons
519 seconds Aug 21, 2004 vs Doerksen
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 13, 2006UFC Fight Night 7
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 SUBX
2,0541,933
2,0871,899
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Sanchez
legend Riggs
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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