UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Melendez

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Melendez

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
76% chance Melendez
WILL WIN

2,243

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Gilbert Melendez
Better striker 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly heavier hands 8.3 vs 7.3 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly harder to hit 9.0 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Fast finishes 8.3 vs 7.7 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.5 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Significantly better submission offense 7.3 vs 6.5 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.9 vs 9.7 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly stronger jaw 9.3 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Melendez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Gilbert
Melendez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Melendez Sanchez
Significant Strikes97
Melendez's excellent striking offense will dominate Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Melendez's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Melendez has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Melendez is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Melendez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Melendez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Melendez
Significant Strikes63
Sanchez's good striking offense is matched by Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sanchez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Melendez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Melendez 9.3
fighter Sanchez 8.7
Great striking by Melendez
96 strikes Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
33 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
69 strikes Apr 17, 2010 vs Aoki

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Melendez 8.9
fighter Sanchez 8.5
Great takedowns by Melendez
1 takedown Oct 19, 2013 vs Sanchez
5 takedowns May 19, 2012 vs Thomson
2 takedowns Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Melendez
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
Round 3 Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
Round 2 Oct 10, 2003 vs Palling

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Melendez 6.5
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great submissions by Sanchez
Round 1 Mar 01, 2008 vs Bielkheden
Round 2 Aug 20, 2005 vs Gassaway
Round 1 May 15, 2004 vs Elbe

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Melendez 8.3
fighter Sanchez 7.7
Fast finishes by Melendez
194 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Kawajiri
836 seconds Aug 15, 2009 vs Ishida
92 seconds Aug 20, 2005 vs Sato
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 19, 2013UFC 166
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XDEC
2,0902,210
2,0572,243
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Melendez
legend Sanchez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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