UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sanchez vs Diaz

2,047

CageRank

WINNER
Diaz

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Diaz
WILL WIN

2,151

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Nick Diaz
Better striker 9.7 vs 8.7 More than 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Much heavier hands 8.4 vs 7.3 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.7 Around 15% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly better submission offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Longer reach 193 cm vs 183 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 9.8 vs 9.3 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 155 lbs Around 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Diego Sanchez
Much stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 7.6 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.2 vs 8.8 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 8.5 vs 8.4 Almost the same
Diaz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sanchez’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Nick
Diaz
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Diaz Sanchez
Significant Strikes107
Diaz's excellent striking offense will dominate Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Diaz's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sanchez's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Diaz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sanchez on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Diaz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Diego
Sanchez
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Sanchez Diaz
Significant Strikes84
Sanchez's good striking offense may be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sanchez's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Diaz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sanchez is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sanchez is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sanchez has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Diaz 9.7
fighter Sanchez 8.7
Great striking by Diaz
178 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Penn
44 strikes Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
13 strikes Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Diaz 7.6
fighter Sanchez 8.5
Great takedowns by Sanchez
2 takedowns Mar 03, 2013 vs Gomi
1 takedown Mar 03, 2011 vs Kampmann
3 takedowns Aug 17, 2006 vs Parisyan

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Diaz 8.4
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great knockouts by Diaz
Round 1 Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
Round 1 Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
Round 1 Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Diaz 8.0
fighter Sanchez 7.3
Great submissions by Diaz
Round 1 May 29, 2010 vs Sakurai
Round 3 Jun 06, 2009 vs Smith
Round 3 Aug 26, 2006 vs Neer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Diaz 8.7
fighter Sanchez 7.7
Fast finishes by Diaz
297 seconds Apr 09, 2011 vs Daley
278 seconds Jan 30, 2010 vs Zaromskis
280 seconds Feb 05, 2005 vs Fickett
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
November 5, 2005TUF 2 Finale
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R2 SUBX
1,9261,892
1,9711,847
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Diaz
legend Sanchez
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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