UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Gamburyan vs Morgan

1,881

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Gamburyan

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Gamburyan
WILL WIN

1,576

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Manny Gamburyan
Much better takedown defense 9.4 vs 7.3 Around 30% better at avoiding being taken down
Puts up a fight 8.9 vs 7.5 Around 20% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Much harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much heavier hands 7.0 vs 6.2 More than 10% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.1 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Fast finishes 7.9 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 8.1 vs 7.9 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Sam Morgan
A lot taller 178 cm vs 165 cm Around 10% taller
Heavier 164 lbs vs 134 lbs More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Slightly better submission offense 7.6 vs 7.5 Almost the same
Gamburyan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Morgan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Manny
Gamburyan
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Gamburyan Morgan
Significant Strikes39
Gamburyan's average striking offense may be a factor against Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Average
Striking
vs
Below average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns3
Gamburyan's excellent takedown offense will dominate Morgan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Poor
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Gamburyan has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Gamburyan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Gamburyan is unlikely to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Morgan on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Gamburyan’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Sam
Morgan
In 7:58, how much damage will he do? Morgan Gamburyan
Significant Strikes24
Morgan's below average striking offense won't be a factor against Gamburyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 72 Significant Strikes in 7:58
Below average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Morgan's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Gamburyan's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 7:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Morgan is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Morgan is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Morgan is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Gamburyan 8.1
fighter Morgan 7.9
Great striking by Gamburyan
52 strikes Aug 04, 2012 vs Omigawa
11 strikes Apr 24, 2010 vs Thomas Brown
35 strikes Nov 18, 2009 vs Garcia

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Gamburyan 9.2
fighter Morgan 8.6
Great takedowns by Gamburyan
5 takedowns Aug 17, 2013 vs Miller
6 takedowns Aug 04, 2012 vs Omigawa
7 takedowns Nov 18, 2009 vs Garcia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Gamburyan 7.0
fighter Morgan 6.2
Great knockouts by Gamburyan
Round 1 Apr 24, 2010 vs Thomas Brown
Round 1 Aug 10, 2003 vs Santiago

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Gamburyan 7.5
fighter Morgan 7.6
Great submissions by Morgan
Round 1 Nov 14, 2003 vs Riley
Round 1 May 24, 2003 vs Severson
Round 1 Apr 18, 2003 vs Kirk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Gamburyan 7.9
fighter Morgan 7.5
Fast finishes by Gamburyan
142 seconds Apr 24, 2010 vs Thomas Brown
101 seconds Apr 02, 2008 vs Cox
91 seconds Dec 29, 2007 vs Mohr
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
XR2 SUB
1,6891,822
1,7571,754
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Gamburyan
legend Morgan
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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