Lyoto Machida The Dragon 24-8

Weight 184 lbs
Height 6' 1"
Reach 74"
Age 40

Thiago Silva 21-8

222 lbs
6' 1"
74"
36

CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Silva

CageRank

WINNER

68% chance Machida
WILL WIN

CageRank

Differences What advantages does each fighter have?

Advantages for Lyoto Machida

Much harder to hit	10.0	vs	8.7	Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense	9.6	vs	8.2	More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense	8.0	vs	7.3	Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw	9.6	vs	9.2	Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight	9.5	vs	9.2	Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds

Advantages for Thiago Silva

Fast finishes	8.9	vs	8.2	Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly heavier	222 lbs	vs	184 lbs	More than 20% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker	9.0	vs	8.7	Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier hands	8.9	vs	8.6	Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger	36 years	vs	40 years	10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon

Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills

Predictions For Lyoto Machida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Machida		Silva
Significant Strikes72 Machida's good striking offense may be a factor against Silva's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Good Striking	vs	Average Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2 Machida's average takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Average Takedown ability	vs	Average Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Machida is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Machida has a good chance of winning by decision	Excellent Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability

Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills

Predictions For Thiago Silva
In 15:00, how much damage will he do?	Silva		Machida
Significant Strikes39 Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Machida's defense Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00	Excellent Striking	vs	Excellent Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0 Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00	Poor Takedown ability	vs	Excellent Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout	Excellent Knockout ability	vs	Excellent Jaw
Submission Silva is unlikely to win by submission	Below average Submission ability	vs	Excellent Resistance
Decision Silva is unlikely to win by decision	Below average Scoring ability	vs	Good Scoring ability