UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Silva

2,164

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Machida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
68% chance Machida
WILL WIN

2,031

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 8.7 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.2 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.3 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 9.2 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Thiago Silva
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.2 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Better striker 9.0 vs 8.7 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Heavier hands 8.9 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Younger 35 years vs 39 years More than 10% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Silva’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Machida Silva
Significant Strikes72
Machida's good striking offense may be a factor against Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Machida's average takedown offense is matched by Silva's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Silva on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Thiago
Silva
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Silva Machida
Significant Strikes39
Silva's excellent striking offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Silva's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Silva has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Silva is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Silva is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Machida 8.7
fighter Silva 9.0
Great striking by Silva
96 strikes Oct 09, 2013 vs Hamill
37 strikes Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
48 strikes Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Machida 8.0
fighter Silva 7.3
Great takedowns by Machida
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Henderson
2 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva
3 takedowns Mar 26, 2005 vs Penn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Machida 8.6
fighter Silva 8.9
Great knockouts by Silva
Round 1 Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
Round 1 Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
Round 2 Sep 08, 2007 vs Drwal

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Machida 6.8
fighter Silva 6.9
Great submissions by Silva
Round 1 May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Round 1 Sep 27, 2006 vs Dalgliesh

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Machida 8.2
fighter Silva 8.9
Fast finishes by Silva
269 seconds Jun 08, 2013 vs Cavalcante
95 seconds Aug 29, 2009 vs Jardine
144 seconds May 24, 2008 vs Mendes
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
January 31, 2009UFC 94
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
DECX
2,0732,011
2,1141,970
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Machida
legend Silva
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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