UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Bisping

2,164

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Machida

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
65% chance Machida
WILL WIN

2,057

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.0 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.0 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Advantages for Michael Bisping
Better striker 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger takedown offense 8.3 vs 8.0 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 192 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Taller 188 cm vs 185 cm Almost the same
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Bisping’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Machida Bisping
Significant Strikes61
Machida's good striking offense is matched by Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Bisping's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Bisping on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Bisping
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Bisping Machida
Significant Strikes56
Bisping's excellent striking offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Bisping's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Bisping is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Bisping has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Machida 8.7
fighter Bisping 9.5
Great striking by Bisping
93 strikes Apr 27, 2013 vs Belcher
102 strikes Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
50 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Machida 8.0
fighter Bisping 8.3
Great takedowns by Bisping
3 takedowns Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
3 takedowns Nov 14, 2009 vs Kang
2 takedowns Jun 07, 2008 vs Day

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Machida 8.6
fighter Bisping 8.5
Great knockouts by Machida
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
Round 2 May 23, 2009 vs Evans
Round 1 Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Machida 6.8
fighter Bisping 6.8
Great submissions by Machida
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Mar 14, 2004 vs McDonald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Machida 8.2
fighter Bisping 8.3
Fast finishes by Bisping
814 seconds Dec 03, 2011 vs Miller
414 seconds Feb 27, 2011 vs Rivera
222 seconds Jun 07, 2008 vs Day
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Machida
legend Bisping
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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