UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Belfort

2,164

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
58% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.2 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 8.6 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.7 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Stronger takedown offense 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.8 Almost the same
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 8:12, how much damage will he do? Belfort Machida
Significant Strikes25
Belfort's excellent striking offense is matched by Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:12
Excellent
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:12
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 8:12, how much damage will he do? Machida Belfort
Significant Strikes20
Machida's good striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 74 Significant Strikes in 8:12
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 8:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Machida 8.7
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Machida 8.0
Great takedowns by Machida
1 takedown Feb 23, 2013 vs Henderson
2 takedowns Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva
3 takedowns Mar 26, 2005 vs Penn

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Machida 8.6
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Machida 6.8
Great submissions by Belfort
Round 1 Jan 14, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 1 Mar 25, 2001 vs Southworth
Round 1 Dec 21, 1997 vs Charles

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Machida 8.2
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Machida
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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