UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Evans

2,164

CageRank

WINNER
Evans

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
58% chance Evans
WILL WIN

2,222

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Rashad Evans
Much stronger takedown offense 9.1 vs 8.0 Around 15% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better striker 8.9 vs 8.7 Almost the same
Slightly younger 38 years vs 40 years 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Puts up a fight 9.7 vs 9.5 Almost the same
Slightly longer reach 191 cm vs 188 cm Almost the same
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Significantly harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.5 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Taller 185 cm vs 180 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Evans on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rashad
Evans
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Evans Machida
Significant Strikes35
Evans's good striking offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Evans's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Evans has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Evans is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Evans has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Evans’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 15:00, how much damage will he do? Machida Evans
Significant Strikes47
Machida's good striking offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 135 Significant Strikes in 15:00
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Evans's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 8 Takedowns in 15:00
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Evans 8.9
fighter Machida 8.7
Great striking by Evans
20 strikes Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
39 strikes Jun 15, 2013 vs Henderson
29 strikes May 29, 2010 vs Jackson

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Evans 9.1
fighter Machida 8.0
Great takedowns by Evans
1 takedown Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
3 takedowns May 29, 2010 vs Jackson
8 takedowns Sep 23, 2006 vs Lambert

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Evans 8.6
fighter Machida 8.6
Great knockouts by Evans
Round 1 Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
Round 3 Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
Round 2 Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Evans 6.8
fighter Machida 6.8
Great submissions by Machida
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Mar 14, 2004 vs McDonald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Evans 8.2
fighter Machida 8.2
Fast finishes by Evans
245 seconds Nov 16, 2013 vs Sonnen
766 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Griffin
411 seconds Sep 06, 2008 vs Liddell
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
May 23, 2009UFC 98
team
VS
team
R2 KOX
XDEC
2,1142,156
2,1702,100
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Evans
legend Machida
Read More
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Fantasy Cage Match
Evans vs Grove
Fantasy Cage Match
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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