UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Thierry Sokoudjou

2,164

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Machida

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
91% chance Machida
WILL WIN

1,754

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Much stronger jaw 9.6 vs 7.7 Around 25% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Much heavier hands 8.6 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.2 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly fast finishes 8.2 vs 7.8 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.9 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better takedown defense 9.6 vs 9.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.6 Around 5% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Advantages for Rameau Thierry Sokoudjou
Much stronger takedown offense 8.9 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Younger 34 years vs 40 years 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Better submission defense 8.9 vs 8.8 Almost the same
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Thierry Sokoudjou’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 12:12, how much damage will he do? Machida Thierry Sokoudjou
Significant Strikes45
Machida's good striking offense won't be a factor against Thierry Sokoudjou's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:12
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Thierry Sokoudjou's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:12
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Thierry Sokoudjou on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Rameau
Thierry Sokoudjou
In 12:12, how much damage will he do? Thierry Sokoudjou Machida
Significant Strikes27
Thierry Sokoudjou's good striking offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 110 Significant Strikes in 12:12
Good
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Thierry Sokoudjou's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:12
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Thierry Sokoudjou is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Thierry Sokoudjou is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Thierry Sokoudjou is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Machida 8.7
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 8.8
Great striking by Thierry Sokoudjou
26 strikes May 24, 2008 vs Nakamura
9 strikes Apr 08, 2007 vs Arona
5 strikes Feb 24, 2007 vs Rogerio Nogueira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Machida 8.0
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 8.9
Great takedowns by Thierry Sokoudjou
1 takedown Oct 06, 2009 vs Sapp
1 takedown May 26, 2009 vs Nortje

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Machida 8.6
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 7.5
Great knockouts by Machida
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
Round 2 May 23, 2009 vs Evans
Round 1 Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Machida 6.8
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 6.6
Great submissions by Machida
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Mar 14, 2004 vs McDonald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Machida 8.2
fighter Thierry Sokoudjou 7.8
Fast finishes by Machida
190 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
537 seconds May 23, 2009 vs Evans
299 seconds Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 29, 2007UFC 79
team
VS
team
R2 SUBX
DECX
2,0071,756
2,0261,737
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Machida
legend Thierry Sokoudjou
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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