UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Machida vs Munoz

2,164

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Machida

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
74% chance Machida
WILL WIN

1,984

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Lyoto Machida
Much harder to hit 10.0 vs 9.1 More than 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much better takedown defense 9.6 vs 8.5 Around 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.6 vs 8.3 More than 15% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.4 Around 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Longer reach 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Heavier hands 8.6 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Taller 185 cm vs 183 cm Almost the same
Better striker 8.7 vs 8.6 Almost the same
Better submission defense 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Advantages for Mark Munoz
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 8.0 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Machida on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Munoz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Lyoto
Machida
In 10:32, how much damage will he do? Machida Munoz
Significant Strikes42
Machida's good striking offense is matched by Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:32
Good
Striking
vs
Good
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Machida's average takedown offense is matched by Munoz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:32
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Machida has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Machida is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Machida has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Munoz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Machida’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Mark
Munoz
In 10:32, how much damage will he do? Munoz Machida
Significant Strikes20
Munoz's average striking offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 95 Significant Strikes in 10:32
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Munoz's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Machida's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 6 Takedowns in 10:32
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Munoz has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Munoz is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Munoz has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Good
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Machida 8.7
fighter Munoz 8.6
Great striking by Machida
27 strikes Feb 23, 2013 vs Henderson
35 strikes Oct 24, 2009 vs Rua
28 strikes May 23, 2009 vs Evans

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Machida 8.0
fighter Munoz 8.8
Great takedowns by Munoz
5 takedowns Jul 06, 2013 vs Boetsch
5 takedowns Nov 05, 2011 vs Leben
3 takedowns Jun 11, 2011 vs Maia

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Machida 8.6
fighter Munoz 8.1
Great knockouts by Machida
Round 1 Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
Round 2 May 23, 2009 vs Evans
Round 1 Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Machida 6.8
fighter Munoz 6.8
Great submissions by Machida
Round 2 Dec 29, 2007 vs Thierry Sokoudjou
Round 1 Mar 14, 2004 vs McDonald

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Machida 8.2
fighter Munoz 8.1
Fast finishes by Machida
190 seconds Oct 26, 2013 vs Munoz
537 seconds May 23, 2009 vs Evans
299 seconds Jan 31, 2009 vs Silva
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 26, 2013UFC Fight Night 30
team
VS
team
R1 KOX
R1 KOX
2,1232,062
2,1642,021
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Machida
legend Munoz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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