UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Ortiz vs Belfort

1,940

CageRank

WINNER
Belfort

prediction

BY KO ROUND 2

prediction
83% chance Belfort
WILL WIN

2,220

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Vitor Belfort
Much heavier hands 10.0 vs 7.4 Around 35% better at knocking out good defenders
Fast finishes 10.0 vs 8.5 Around 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much harder to hit 9.8 vs 8.6 Around 15% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Much stronger jaw 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly better striker 9.2 vs 8.6 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.1 More than 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Younger 39 years vs 42 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Tito Ortiz
Much stronger takedown offense 9.0 vs 7.5 Around 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Much better submission offense 7.7 vs 6.9 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Heavier 205 lbs vs 184 lbs More than 10% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Taller 188 cm vs 183 cm Around 5% taller
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.8 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Belfort on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Ortiz’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Vitor
Belfort
In 6:13, how much damage will he do? Belfort Ortiz
Significant Strikes38
Belfort's excellent striking offense will dominate Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:13
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Belfort's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Ortiz's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:13
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Belfort has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Belfort is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Belfort is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Ortiz on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Belfort’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Tito
Ortiz
In 6:13, how much damage will he do? Ortiz Belfort
Significant Strikes14
Ortiz's average striking offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 56 Significant Strikes in 6:13
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Ortiz's good takedown offense won't be a factor against Belfort's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 6:13
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Ortiz is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Ortiz is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Ortiz is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Belfort 9.2
fighter Ortiz 8.6
Great striking by Belfort
12 strikes Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
18 strikes Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
6 strikes Jan 24, 2009 vs Lindland

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Belfort 7.6
fighter Ortiz 9.0
Great takedowns by Ortiz
3 takedowns Apr 15, 2006 vs Griffin
1 takedown Feb 23, 2001 vs Tanner
2 takedowns Mar 05, 1999 vs Mezger

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Ortiz 7.4
Great knockouts by Belfort
Round 1 Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
Round 2 Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Belfort 6.9
fighter Ortiz 7.7
Great submissions by Ortiz
Round 1 Jul 02, 2011 vs Bader
Round 1 Dec 16, 2000 vs Kondo
Round 1 Dec 08, 1998 vs Screeton

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Belfort 10.0
fighter Ortiz 8.5
Fast finishes by Belfort
77 seconds Nov 09, 2013 vs Henderson
387 seconds Jan 19, 2013 vs Bisping
182 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Franklin
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
February 5, 2005UFC 51
team
VS
team
R3 DECX
R1 KOX
1,9111,868
1,9551,824
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Belfort
legend Ortiz
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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