UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Sotiropoulos vs Pearson

1,808

CageRank

WINNER
Pearson

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
65% chance Pearson
WILL WIN

1,919

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ross Pearson
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.7 Around 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.9 vs 8.4 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Younger 33 years vs 40 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Stronger jaw 8.4 vs 7.9 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 8.8 vs 8.5 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for George Sotiropoulos
Much better takedown defense 9.3 vs 8.3 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly harder to hit 8.8 vs 8.4 Around 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly better submission offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Taller 178 cm vs 173 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger takedown offense 8.5 vs 8.1 Around 5% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Longer reach 180 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 8.7 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Pearson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Sotiropoulos’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ross
Pearson
In 11:58, how much damage will he do? Pearson Sotiropoulos
Significant Strikes59
Pearson's good striking offense may be a factor against Sotiropoulos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:58
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Pearson's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Sotiropoulos's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Pearson has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Pearson is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Pearson has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Sotiropoulos on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Pearson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
George
Sotiropoulos
In 11:58, how much damage will he do? Sotiropoulos Pearson
Significant Strikes58
Sotiropoulos's average striking offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 108 Significant Strikes in 11:58
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Sotiropoulos's average takedown offense is matched by Pearson's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Sotiropoulos is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Sotiropoulos has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Sotiropoulos is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Pearson 8.9
fighter Sotiropoulos 8.4
Great striking by Pearson
50 strikes Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
52 strikes Dec 30, 2011 vs Assuncao
59 strikes Feb 27, 2011 vs Fisher

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Pearson 8.1
fighter Sotiropoulos 8.5
Great takedowns by Sotiropoulos
3 takedowns Nov 20, 2010 vs Lauzon
1 takedown Jul 03, 2010 vs Pellegrino
2 takedowns Feb 20, 2010 vs Stevenson

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Pearson 7.9
fighter Sotiropoulos 6.7
Great knockouts by Pearson
Round 2 Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
Round 3 Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Pearson 7.3
fighter Sotiropoulos 8.1
Great submissions by Sotiropoulos
Round 2 Nov 20, 2010 vs Lauzon
Round 2 Nov 21, 2009 vs Dent
Round 2 Aug 08, 2009 vs Roop

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Pearson 7.9
fighter Sotiropoulos 7.8
Fast finishes by Pearson
525 seconds Apr 06, 2013 vs Couture
641 seconds Dec 15, 2012 vs Sotiropoulos
578 seconds Nov 14, 2009 vs Riley
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 15, 2012UFC on FX 6
team
VS
team
XR3 KO
R1 SUBX
1,9251,859
1,8651,919
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Pearson
legend Sotiropoulos
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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