UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Jensen vs Edwards

1,922

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Jensen

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 3

prediction
66% chance Jensen
WILL WIN

1,807

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Kyle Jensen
Much better submission offense 8.9 vs 7.4 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much stronger takedown offense 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Fast finishes 8.9 vs 8.1 Around 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Heavier 180 lbs vs 155 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.5 Almost the same
Longer reach 191 cm vs 185 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Younger 38 years vs 41 years More than 5% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Advantages for Yves Edwards
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 7.7 More than 15% better at avoiding being taken down
Much heavier hands 8.0 vs 7.0 Around 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.1 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Puts up a fight 9.4 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Better submission defense 9.3 vs 9.0 Around 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Slightly taller 178 cm vs 175 cm Almost the same
Jensen on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Edwards’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Kyle
Jensen
In 11:56, how much damage will he do? Jensen Edwards
Significant Strikes46
Jensen's average striking offense is matched by Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:56
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Jensen's good takedown offense is matched by Edwards's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:56
Good
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Jensen is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Jensen has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Jensen is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Edwards on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Jensen’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Yves
Edwards
In 11:56, how much damage will he do? Edwards Jensen
Significant Strikes57
Edwards's good striking offense may be a factor against Jensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 107 Significant Strikes in 11:56
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Edwards's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Jensen's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 11:56
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Below average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Edwards is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Edwards is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Edwards is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Jensen 8.1
fighter Edwards 8.7
Great striking by Edwards
8 strikes Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
33 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs McKenzie
4 strikes May 22, 2005 vs Mishima

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Jensen 7.0
fighter Edwards 8.0
Great knockouts by Edwards
Round 1 Dec 08, 2012 vs Stephens
Round 1 Feb 26, 2010 vs Noble
Round 1 Oct 10, 2009 vs Jensen

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Jensen 8.9
fighter Edwards 7.4
Great submissions by Jensen
Round 1 Dec 22, 2003 vs Evans
Round 2 Feb 08, 2003 vs Reed
Round 1 Jul 12, 2002 vs Sherzer

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Jensen 8.9
fighter Edwards 8.1
Fast finishes by Jensen
45 seconds Jun 27, 2009 vs Clementi
152 seconds Apr 26, 2008 vs Martin
228 seconds Jul 12, 2002 vs Sherzer
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R1 SUBX
1,9731,845
1,9051,912
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Jensen
legend Edwards
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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