UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Mir vs Mitrione

1,948

CageRank

WINNER

WINNER
Mir

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
66% chance Mir
WILL WIN

1,836

CageRank
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Frank Mir
Much better submission defense 9.4 vs 7.8 More than 20% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Much better submission offense 8.1 vs 6.8 Around 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Significantly better takedown defense 9.4 vs 8.4 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.1 vs 7.3 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.0 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Heavier 261 lbs vs 255 lbs Almost the same
Advantages for Matt Mitrione
Much heavier hands 8.8 vs 7.2 More than 20% better at knocking out good defenders
Longer reach 208 cm vs 201 cm Around 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Stronger jaw 8.6 vs 8.3 Around 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Mir on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mitrione’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Frank
Mir
In 9:42, how much damage will he do? Mir Mitrione
Significant Strikes43
Mir's good striking offense may be a factor against Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:42
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Mir's average takedown offense is matched by Mitrione's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:42
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mir is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Mir has a very good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Average
Resistance
Decision
Mir has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Mitrione on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Mir’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Mitrione
In 9:42, how much damage will he do? Mitrione Mir
Significant Strikes45
Mitrione's good striking offense may be a factor against Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 87 Significant Strikes in 9:42
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Mitrione's poor takedown offense won't be a factor against Mir's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 5 Takedowns in 9:42
Poor
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Mitrione has a good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Good
Jaw
Submission
Mitrione is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Mitrione is unlikely to win by decision
Below average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Mir 8.7
fighter Mitrione 8.7
Great striking by Mitrione
7 strikes Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
16 strikes Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague
76 strikes Sep 25, 2010 vs Beltran

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Mir 8.1
fighter Mitrione 7.3
Great takedowns by Mir
1 takedown Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
6 takedowns May 28, 2011 vs Nelson
1 takedown Dec 27, 2008 vs Nogueira

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Mir 7.2
fighter Mitrione 8.8
Great knockouts by Mitrione
Round 1 Apr 06, 2013 vs De Fries
Round 2 Jun 26, 2011 vs Morecraft
Round 1 Jan 22, 2011 vs Hague

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Mir 8.1
fighter Mitrione 6.8
Great submissions by Mir
Round 1 Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
Round 1 Dec 12, 2009 vs Kongo
Round 1 Jun 19, 2004 vs Sylvia

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Mir 8.4
fighter Mitrione 8.3
Fast finishes by Mir
218 seconds Dec 10, 2011 vs Nogueira
414 seconds Dec 27, 2008 vs Nogueira
50 seconds Jun 19, 2004 vs Sylvia
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Mir
legend Mitrione
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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