UFC fight predictions and analysis
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CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Radev vs Daley

1,930

CageRank

WINNER
Daley

prediction

BY KO ROUND 3

prediction
62% chance Daley
WILL WIN

2,017

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Paul Daley
Much heavier hands 9.5 vs 6.7 More than 40% better at knocking out good defenders
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.2 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Significantly longer reach 189 cm vs 178 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Significantly fast finishes 8.7 vs 7.9 More than 10% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Significantly harder to hit 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Younger 34 years vs 41 years More than 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Taller 175 cm vs 170 cm Around 5% taller
Stronger jaw 9.3 vs 8.8 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 8.4 vs 8.2 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Heavier 170 lbs vs 169 lbs Almost the same
Puts up a fight 9.6 vs 9.4 Around 5% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Slightly better submission defense 9.4 vs 9.2 Almost the same
Advantages for Jordan Radev
Significantly stronger takedown offense 8.2 vs 7.6 Around 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Better submission offense 6.8 vs 6.3 Around 10% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Daley on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Radev’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Paul
Daley
In 12:04, how much damage will he do? Daley Radev
Significant Strikes70
Daley's good striking offense may be a factor against Radev's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:04
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Daley's below average takedown offense won't be a factor against Radev's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:04
Below average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Daley has a reasonable chance to win by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Daley is unlikely to win by submission
Poor
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Daley is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
Radev on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Daley’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Jordan
Radev
In 12:04, how much damage will he do? Radev Daley
Significant Strikes43
Radev's average striking offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 109 Significant Strikes in 12:04
Average
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Radev's average takedown offense is matched by Daley's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 7 Takedowns in 12:04
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Radev is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Radev is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Radev has a good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Good
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Daley 8.7
fighter Radev 8.2
Great striking by Daley
17 strikes Dec 04, 2010 vs Smith
8 strikes Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
27 strikes Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Daley 9.5
fighter Radev 6.7
Great knockouts by Daley
Round 1 Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
Round 1 Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
Round 2 Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Daley 6.3
fighter Radev 6.8
Great submissions by Radev
Round 2 Aug 03, 2008 vs Smith
Round 3 Sep 27, 2003 vs Bensellam
Round 1 Nov 16, 2002 vs Scholten

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Daley 8.8
fighter Radev 7.9
Fast finishes by Daley
144 seconds Jan 02, 2010 vs Hazelett
151 seconds Sep 19, 2009 vs Kampmann
438 seconds Dec 05, 2008 vs Alessio
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
September 10, 2011BAMMA 7
team
VS
team
XR3 DEC
XR1 KO
1,9752,013
1,9302,057
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Daley
legend Radev
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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