UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Lindland vs Souza

1,859

CageRank

WINNER
Souza

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 1

prediction
90% chance Souza
WILL WIN

2,245

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Ronaldo Souza
Fast finishes 9.3 vs 7.5 Around 25% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 9.0 vs 7.5 More than 20% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much harder to hit 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better at dodging and blocking powerful blows; endures less damage
Significantly stronger takedown offense 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% stronger at taking people to the ground; can force the fight to the mat
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.2 More than 15% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly younger 38 years vs 47 years Around 20% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Significantly better striker 8.7 vs 8.3 More than 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.2 vs 8.4 More than 10% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Stronger jaw 9.1 vs 8.5 More than 5% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Better takedown defense 9.4 vs 9.1 Around 5% better at avoiding being taken down
Advantages for Matt Lindland
Heavier hands 7.6 vs 7.3 More than 5% better at knocking out good defenders
Heavier 184 lbs vs 183 lbs Almost the same
Souza on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Lindland’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Ronaldo
Souza
In 4:58, how much damage will he do? Souza Lindland
Significant Strikes24
Souza's good striking offense may be a factor against Lindland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 45 Significant Strikes in 4:58
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Souza's excellent takedown offense will dominate Lindland's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:58
Excellent
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Souza is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Souza has a good chance of winning by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Good
Resistance
Decision
Souza is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Lindland on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Souza’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Matt
Lindland
In 4:58, how much damage will he do? Lindland Souza
Significant Strikes11
Lindland's average striking offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 45 Significant Strikes in 4:58
Average
Striking
vs
Excellent
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns0
Lindland's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Souza's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 3 Takedowns in 4:58
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Excellent
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Lindland is unlikely to win by knockout
Average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Lindland is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Lindland is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Souza 8.7
fighter Lindland 8.3
Great striking by Souza
28 strikes Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
12 strikes Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
47 strikes Aug 21, 2010 vs Kennedy

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Souza 9.2
fighter Lindland 8.4
Great takedowns by Souza
2 takedowns Jan 12, 2013 vs Herman
4 takedowns Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
3 takedowns Jun 15, 2008 vs Miller

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Souza 7.3
fighter Lindland 7.7
Great knockouts by Lindland
Round 2 Sep 09, 2006 vs Horn
Round 3 Nov 21, 2003 vs Vitale
Round 1 Mar 22, 2002 vs Miletich

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Souza 9.0
fighter Lindland 7.5
Great submissions by Souza
Round 1 May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
Round 3 Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Round 1 Dec 19, 2009 vs Lindland

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Souza 9.4
fighter Lindland 7.5
Fast finishes by Souza
167 seconds Sep 04, 2013 vs Okami
217 seconds May 18, 2013 vs Camozzi
720 seconds Jan 29, 2011 vs Lawler
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 19, 2009Strikeforce - Evolution
team
VS
team
XR1 SUB
R1 KOX
1,9701,897
1,9091,957
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Souza
legend Lindland
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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