UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Derrow vs Johnson

1,566

CageRank

WINNER
Johnson

prediction

BY Decision

prediction
93% chance Johnson
WILL WIN

2,023

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Michael Johnson
Much heavier hands 8.3 vs 6.5 More than 25% better at knocking out good defenders
Much stronger jaw 9.0 vs 7.6 Around 20% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Significantly fast finishes 8.0 vs 7.5 More than 5% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Puts up a fight 9.3 vs 8.4 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Advantages for Aaron Derrow
Much better submission offense 7.8 vs 6.6 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Better submission defense 9.1 vs 8.6 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Taller 185 cm vs 178 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Johnson on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Derrow’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Michael
Johnson
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by knockout
Excellent
Knockout ability
vs
Average
Jaw
Submission
Johnson is unlikely to win by submission
Below average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Johnson has a very good chance of winning by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Average
Scoring ability
Derrow on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Johnson’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Aaron
Derrow
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Derrow is unlikely to win by knockout
Weak
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Derrow is unlikely to win by submission
Good
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Derrow is unlikely to win by decision
Poor
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Johnson 8.3
fighter Derrow 6.5
Great knockouts by Johnson
Round 2 Dec 28, 2013 vs Tibau
Round 2 Oct 05, 2012 vs Castillo
Round 1 Oct 03, 2009 vs Derrow

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Johnson 6.6
fighter Derrow 7.8
Great submissions by Derrow
Round 1 Mar 30, 2012 vs Johnson
Round 3 Jan 28, 2011 vs Clementi
Round 2 Jul 10, 2010 vs Wilk

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Johnson 8.0
fighter Derrow 7.5
Fast finishes by Johnson
392 seconds Dec 28, 2013 vs Tibau
366 seconds Oct 05, 2012 vs Castillo
196 seconds Apr 10, 2009 vs French
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
October 3, 2009XCF 10
team
VS
team
XR1 KO
R2 SUBX
1,6751,653
1,6221,707
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Johnson
legend Derrow
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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