UFC fight predictions and analysis
CAGERANK PREDICTION Who will win - Horodecki vs Cerrone

1,899

CageRank

WINNER
Cerrone

prediction

BY Submission ROUND 2

prediction
85% chance Cerrone
WILL WIN

2,206

CageRank

WINNER
Differences What advantages does each fighter have?
Advantages for Donald Cerrone
Fast finishes 9.2 vs 7.6 More than 20% better at finishing the fight quickly; minimize risk of injury or loss
Much better submission offense 8.7 vs 7.5 More than 15% better at securing submissions; more ways to win
Much heavier hands 7.9 vs 6.8 More than 15% better at knocking out good defenders
Much better takedown defense 9.0 vs 8.1 More than 10% better at avoiding being taken down
Significantly stronger jaw 9.2 vs 8.5 Around 10% better at avoiding being knocked out; fewer dangerous concussions
Puts up a fight 9.5 vs 8.7 Around 10% better defense against being finished quickly; can fight into late rounds
Significantly better striker 9.0 vs 8.6 Around 5% better at delivering meaningful attacks; can hit better defenders
Better submission defense 9.4 vs 8.8 More than 5% better avoiding and escaping submissions; less likely to have to tap
Longer reach 185 cm vs 177 cm More than 5% longer reach; hit opponents from a safer distance
Taller 183 cm vs 175 cm Around 5% taller
Heavier 169 lbs vs 144 lbs More than 15% heavier ; harder for lighter weight opponents to control
Advantages for Chris Horodecki
Younger 29 years vs 34 years Around 15% younger ; less time being ground down in the octagon
Cerrone on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Horodecki’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Donald
Cerrone
In 8:07, how much damage will he do? Cerrone Horodecki
Significant Strikes50
Cerrone's excellent striking offense will dominate Horodecki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:07
Excellent
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns2
Cerrone's average takedown offense is matched by Horodecki's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Average
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Cerrone is unlikely to win by knockout
Good
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Cerrone has a reasonable chance to win by submission
Excellent
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Cerrone is unlikely to win by decision
Average
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
Horodecki on the attack Our prediction about how he’ll perform against Cerrone’s defensive skills
Predictions For
Chris
Horodecki
In 8:07, how much damage will he do? Horodecki Cerrone
Significant Strikes43
Horodecki's good striking offense may be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 73 Significant Strikes in 8:07
Good
Striking
vs
Average
Blocking and avoiding
Takedowns1
Horodecki's average takedown offense won't be a factor against Cerrone's defense
Note: we'd predict at most 4 Takedowns in 8:07
Average
Takedown ability
vs
Good
Ability to stay on his feet
If he wins, how will it go down?
Knockout
Horodecki is unlikely to win by knockout
Below average
Knockout ability
vs
Excellent
Jaw
Submission
Horodecki is unlikely to win by submission
Average
Submission ability
vs
Excellent
Resistance
Decision
Horodecki has a reasonable chance to win by decision
Excellent
Scoring ability
vs
Excellent
Scoring ability
OFFENSE Who’s better on the attack?

striking

Who can land devastating blows when it matters?
fighter Cerrone 9.0
fighter Horodecki 8.6
Great striking by Cerrone
4 strikes Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
9 strikes Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
30 strikes Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

takedowns

Who's going to take it to the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Horodecki 8.1
Great takedowns by Horodecki
4 takedowns Jun 20, 2010 vs Downes

knockouts

Who's better at knocking out opponents?
fighter Cerrone 8.0
fighter Horodecki 6.9
Great knockouts by Cerrone
Round 1 Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
Round 1 Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
Round 1 Aug 14, 2011 vs Oliveira

submissions

Who can finish it on the ground?
fighter Cerrone 8.7
fighter Horodecki 7.5
Great submissions by Cerrone
Round 2 Nov 16, 2013 vs Dunham
Round 1 Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Round 2 Dec 16, 2010 vs Horodecki

Fast finishes

Who can end the fight faster?
fighter Cerrone 9.2
fighter Horodecki 7.6
Fast finishes by Cerrone
280 seconds Jan 25, 2014 vs Martins
76 seconds Aug 11, 2012 vs Guillard
142 seconds Oct 29, 2011 vs Siver
Fight History Who won last time these two fought?
Winnner
Prediction
CageRank Before
CageRank After
December 16, 2010WEC 53
team
VS
team
XR2 SUB
DECX
1,9531,910
1,8971,966
Cage Rank Over Time See how Cage Rank changes with each fight
legend Cerrone
legend Horodecki
Comments Who do you think is a better fighter, and why?
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